New Evidence of Rigging? New Data on Bellwether Counties Sure Looks Like It
Bellwether counties mirror the national share of voters – and almost always back the winning candidate in U.S. presidential elections.
Since 1984, they have accurately predicted the winning presidential candidate, except in 2020, when Trump mysteriously lost to Joe Biden despite Trump winning 94% of the bellwether counties.
Nineteen of those counties voted for the winner between 1984 and 2016, and now 2024 (with few exceptions). One of the bellwethers, Valencia County, New Mexico, has voted for the winning candidate since 1952. It also voted for Trump in the three elections, two of which he was the certified winner.
Again, there was only one exception to bellwether countries picking the eventual winner: 2020, an election plagued by abnormalities and accusations of fraud.
But then, in 2024, the trend trend mysteriously resumed across all but two bellwethers in 2024. Too big to rig?
During the 2020 election, only one of the bellwethers voted for Biden, and Valencia County was “wrong” for the first time after 17 elections. The culmination of the circumstances under which Biden won is too convenient to be coincidental.
In 1984, Ronald Regan won 100% of all Bellwether counties. His national victory was no less spectacular and reflected his performance in the bellwether counties. Nationally, he clinched 525 out of 538 electoral votes, won in 49 states except for his opponent’s home state, Minnesota, and recorded a popular vote victory of 58.8%.
In 1988, George H.W. Bush won 88% of the bellwethers, garnered 426 votes to his opponent’s 111, won in 40 states, and had a popular vote victory of 53.4%.
Clinton also clinched the bellwethers in 1992 and 1996 and proceeded to serve two terms in office. In 1996, 100% of all bellwether counties voted for him; he clinched 49.2% of the popular vote and 379 electoral college votes. In 1992, 94% of bellwether counties also voted for him, garnered 43.0% in popular vote, and 370 electoral votes. His 1996 victory was more prominent when all bellwethers voted for him.
The trend continued with George W. Bush and Barack Obama.
Yet, in 2020, the voting trend deviated significantly. Trump won 94% of bellwether counties but “lost” not only the popular vote but also the Electoral College. Biden won only one bellwether county in 2020.
Subsequently, Biden’s unexpected “victory” under these circumstances only raises more questions about how the then-outgoing president Trump in 2020 and broke a 36-year streak, which was immediately restored in the next election.
If one counts those 15 states that join the electoral college compact. Trump got 511 votes and Harris only carry three states.
BNOJams is correct. Also, during the “COVID’ crisis (I myself never caught covid, never took those shots and discarded the mask after wearing it briefly) the Democrats, with the cooperation of their chums in the Trump hating media called for and demanded the mass distribution of mail in ballots. And the process was largely unsupervised. President Trump was ahead on election night, then suddenly voting stopped in key states and in the wee hours of the morning, Sleepy Joe came from behind. The election of 2020 will go down in history with the Presidential Election of 1876.
Pelosi and Schumer in particular went out of their way to appoint specific election officials and people to be exactly where they needed to be, as well as changing election procedures prior to 2020. Everyone on the inside of politics knows exactly what happened, they stole the daylights out of the 2020 election!
I agree!